Morning everybody

I like to look at historical stats when considering a wager

If anyone's interested, based on Trent Bridge records

Batting first in a Test Match:
If England score more than 384 they are statistically unlikely to lose as that is the highest score that any team ever got at Nottingham and then went on to lose

Likewise if they score under 231 they are very unlikely to win as that is the lowest score that a team ever got first innings and went on to win

As it happens they scored 221
Makes me think they will not be setting any new records and so will not win

At time of writing India are 24/1

And England are 2.9 on Betfair
Would recommend the lay for 5 units
Upside 5 units if India win or a draw
Downside 9 units if England win

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